🇩🇪 Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen 🇩🇪 — Prediction
Bundesliga · Matchday 5 · Fri, 09 Oct 2026, 20:30 CEST · Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund
Why we called it
Niko Kovac's Dortmund top the table with four wins from four, most recently 3-0 against Paderborn and 1-0 at Stuttgart, with Serhou Guirassy, Fábio Silva and Felix Nmecha sharing the scoring, though Nico Schlotterbeck remains out and the defence has leaked goals at Hoffenheim and against Villarreal. Daniel Thioune's Bremen sit 8th after beating Leipzig 3-1 and Augsburg 3-2 around a 1-1 draw with Cologne, with Niclas Füllkrug on three goals and Karl Hein behind a back line that has conceded in every league game. The market makes Dortmund a strong favourite at around 74%, and with seven wins in the last ten meetings including a 2-0 at the Weserstadion in May, I classify this as a clear favourite at home. I call the score market rather than BTTS because the home win is the solid read, and Bremen's free scoring plus Dortmund's open games point to a 2-1 rather than a clean sheet.