🇮🇹 Atalanta vs Cagliari 🇮🇹 — Prediction
Serie A · Matchday 4 · Sat, 12 Sept 2026, 20:45 CEST · New Balance Arena, Bergamo
Why we called it
Sarri's Atalanta won their first two games (Samardzic's stoppage-time winner against Bologna) before throwing away Ederson's lead in a 2-1 defeat at Roma with two goals conceded after the 90th minute, while Pisacane's Cagliari have six points from a very tight defence, beating Lecce 1-0 through a Maldini header after losing 0-1 to Inter. Atalanta's 4-3-3 has De Ketelaere and Raspadori/Elmas around Krstovic, who replaced Scamacca at half-time in Rome and is favoured to start; Cagliari sit in a compact 4-3-2-1 with Mendy up front and Maldini and Fazzini behind him, and Winks and Adopo screening. With the home side a clear but not overwhelming favourite (1X priced around 1.46) against a side that concedes very little, we keep the home win but trim it to a one-goal margin, 1-0.