🇮🇹 Venezia vs Fiorentina 🇮🇹 — Prediction
Serie A · Matchday 4 · Fri, 11 Sept 2026, 20:45 CEST · Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo, Venice
Why we called it
A clash between the two pointless sides of Serie A: Venezia have lost all three games (most recently 3-2 at Frosinone, where substitute Yeboah scored and Sagrado equalised), while Fiorentina have conceded nine goals and scored only once, a 1-2 home defeat to Torino that cost Fabio Grosso his job, with Paolo Vanoli recalled to the bench. Stroppa's 3-5-2 should pair Adams with Yeboah after his impact off the bench, while Fiorentina lean on De Gea, Dragusin and the Pellegrino-Atta axis with Mastantuono behind them, with Parisi out. Bookmakers have this as a near coin-flip (home around 2.88, away around 2.66) and both defences are leaking, so we classify it as evenly matched and settle on a 1-1 draw, with a new-coach bounce for the Viola offset by Venezia's home crowd and late-game momentum.