🇳🇱 Feyenoord vs Inter 🇮🇹 — Prediction
Champions League · Matchday 4 · Tue, 03 Nov 2026, 21:00 CET · Stadion Feijenoord (De Kuip), Rotterdam
Win probability
- Expected goals
- 1.30 – 1.85
- Both teams score
- 62%
Why we called it
Inter have won four in a row in Serie A and Thuram is in top form, so the market has them at 56%. Lautaro is injured, Bastoni is suspended and the Milan derby comes three days earlier, so Feyenoord should score at De Kuip.
Full analysis
Probable line-ups
Absences
- Lautaro Martínez — out (injury)
- Alessandro Bastoni — suspended (sent off v Shakhtar)
- Benjamin Pavard — out
- John Stones — out
- Luis Henrique — out
Form
Feyenoord lead the Eredivisie (2-0 v AZ, 4-3 v Telstar, 1-1 at PSV) and have 3 UCL points (1-5 v Barcelona, 3-2 v Como, 0-1 at Betis). Inter have 3 UCL points (1-2 at Real Madrid, 3-4 v Brugge, 1-0 v Shakhtar) but are top of Serie A with 25 points from nine games.
Context
Inter play the Milan derby on Saturday 31 October, so a short turnaround and some rotation are likely. Feyenoord's home games average four goals.
What's at stake
Both have 3 points and need a win to get back on course for the top 24.
Betting market
Feyenoord about 22%, draw 22%, Inter 56%, with BTTS & over 2.5 at -172.
From the model to the call
No statistical model for this competition. Market-implied ≈1.2–1.95; Feyenoord +0.1 for Bastoni's suspension, Inter -0.1 for the derby turnaround and Lautaro's absence → 1.3–1.85.