🇳🇴 Norway vs England 🏴 — Prediction
World Cup 2026 · Quarter-final · Sat, 11 Jul 2026, 23:00 CEST · Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens
Why we called it
England beat co-hosts Mexico 3-2 (Bellingham double, Kane penalty) and are clear but not overwhelming favourites — around -105 over 90 minutes and 4/9 to advance — though Quansah is suspended after his red card and a fit-again Reece James or Konsa must patch a reshuffled back four. Norway are the story of the tournament, into their first-ever quarter-final on the back of Haaland (7 goals, joint Golden Boot lead) and Ødegaard's creativity, but they have conceded throughout and both-teams-to-score is odds-on. Per calibration this is a clear favourite in a one-off tie, so I keep the England win and trim to a one-goal margin: 2-1, Kane and the in-form Bellingham scoring while Haaland grabs Norway's goal.