🇪🇸 Spain vs Argentina 🇦🇷 — Prediction
World Cup 2026 · Final · Sun, 19 Jul 2026, 21:00 CEST · MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford
Why we called it
Spain arrive unbeaten in 36 matches with the tournament's best defence — one goal conceded all World Cup — after outclassing France 2-0, and their XI is settled (Simón; Porro, Cubarsí, Laporte, Cucurella; Rodri, Fabián Ruiz; Yamal, Olmo, Baena; Oyarzabal), with Nico Williams recovered and an option off the bench. Holders Argentina rode another late Messi-inspired comeback past England 2-1 and keep Scaloni's usual side with Messi (8 goals) and Álvarez up front, but they have needed rescuing repeatedly in the knockouts. Bookmakers make Spain a clear but not overwhelming favourite (+130 vs +270, -156 to lift the cup), so per calibration I take the Spanish win trimmed to one goal — and with two strong defences in the highest-stakes match of all, a low score: 1-0, top scorer Oyarzabal with the decisive strike.