🇫🇷 Lens vs Como 🇮🇹 — Prediction

Champions League · Matchday 4 · Wed, 04 Nov 2026, 21:00 CET · Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens

Our AI call, published before kickoff

GG1–2

Tipped scorers: Florian Thauvin (Lens) · Anastasios Douvikas (Como) · Nico Paz (Como)

Win probability

29%

Lens

25%

Draw

46%

Como

Expected goals: 1.30 – 1.70
Both teams score: 60%

How the crowd called it

Why we called it

Como have won three straight, with Douvikas scoring twice against Sassuolo, and the bookmakers make them favourites even without Moise Kean. Lens have lost two UCL games in a row and the derby at Lille.

Full analysis

Probable line-ups

🇫🇷 Lens

3-4-3: Risser; Aguilar, Baidoo, Todibo; Abdulhamid, Haidara, Cuisance, Udol; Thauvin, Sotoca, Thorgan Hazard

🇮🇹 Como

4-2-3-1: Como GK; Jacobo Ramón and the back line; Perrone, a midfield partner; Diao, Nico Paz, Baturina; Douvikas

Absences

🇫🇷 Lens

None

🇮🇹 Como

Moise Kean — out until December

Form

Lens have 3 points (3-2 at Slavia, 0-2 v Sporting, 0-3 at Brugge) and lost 1-0 at Lille on Friday. Como have 6 points (4-1 v Leipzig, 2-3 at Feyenoord, 4-1 v Manchester United) and beat Sassuolo 2-0.

Context

Lens have had an extra day's rest after Friday's derby. Fàbregas's side are in confident form, and Cahuzac's Lens are struggling to score.

What's at stake

Como can move into the top eight, and Lens need points to stay in the play-off places.

Betting market

Como 2.20, draw 3.80, Lens 2.85, with over 2.5 rated at about 67%: an away edge in an open game, matching our call.

From the model to the call

No statistical model for this competition. Odds give about 1.35-1.65; Lens's poor form trims them slightly, for a final 1.3-1.7.