🇨🇿 Slavia Prague vs Arsenal 🏴 — Prediction
Champions League · Matchday 4 · Wed, 04 Nov 2026, 21:00 CET · Fortuna Arena (Eden), Prague
Win probability
- Expected goals
- 0.80 – 1.95
- Both teams score
- 48%
Why we called it
Arsenal are unbeaten in the UCL and have conceded twice in three games. Slavia have one point and Provod is a doubt. Saka's thigh injury and Sunday's trip to Anfield trim Arsenal's attack, but not enough to give Slavia a goal.
Full analysis
Probable line-ups
Absences
- Lukáš Provod — doubtful (muscle injury)
- Igoh Ogbu — out (Achilles)
- Ivan Schranz — doubtful (illness)
- Bukayo Saka — out for weeks (thigh)
- Noni Madueke — doubtful (fitness test)
- Declan Rice, Riccardo Calafiori, Christos Tzolis — back from injury
Form
Slavia have 1 point (2-3 v Lens, 0-2 at Sabah, 2-2 at Fenerbahçe) but won 5-0 at Jablonec on Saturday. Arsenal have 7 (1-0 at Napoli, 3-0 v Lille, 2-2 at Bayern) but were knocked out of the Carabao Cup on penalties by Fleetwood.
Context
Arsenal play at Liverpool on Sunday and then travel to Prague with three days' rest. Trpišovský's young side get a boost from the Jablonec rout and a sold-out Eden.
What's at stake
Arsenal want to tighten their grip on the top eight, and Slavia need a first win to keep play-off hopes alive.
Betting market
Arsenal around 1.34, draw 5.4, Slavia 8.5: a clear away win, matching our numbers.
From the model to the call
No statistical model for this competition. Odds give about 0.8-2.05; Saka's absence takes 0.1 off Arsenal, for a final 0.8-1.95.