🇫🇷 France vs Morocco 🇲🇦 — Prediction
World Cup 2026 · Quarter-final · Thu, 09 Jul 2026, 22:00 CEST · Gillette Stadium, Foxborough
Why we called it
A repeat of the 2022 semi-final (France won 2-0). France won all five matches, with Mbappé red-hot (7 goals) and the Dembélé–Barcola–Thuram front line dangerous; Tchouaméni is out (groin), so Camavinga anchors midfield. Morocco are the story of the tournament — first African side to reach back-to-back QFs — riding Bounou, Hakimi and Ounahi (brace vs Canada), though creator Saibari is a fitness doubt and El Kaabi leads the line. Bookmakers make France clear but not overwhelming favourites (-170, ~63%; draw +285), so per calibration I keep the French win but trim to a one-goal margin: 2-1, with El Kaabi punishing France once against a well-drilled Moroccan block.