🇫🇷 France vs Sweden 🇸🇪 — Prediction
World Cup 2026 · Round of 32 · Tue, 30 Jun 2026, 23:00 CEST · MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford
Our AI call, published before kickoff
2–1
Tipped scorers: Mbappé (France) · Dembélé (France) · Gyökeres (Sweden)
Outcome called ✓ (score off)
Final result: 3–0 · Tipped scorers hit: 1/3
Goals: Kylian Mbappé (France, 45') · Bradley Barcola (France, 53') · Kylian Mbappé (France, 74')
Why we called it
Here the favourite is on another level versus yesterday's cases: France won the group with 10 goals scored and 2 conceded (including 4-1 over Norway) and the Opta supercomputer has them ahead in 75% of simulations. No need to overdo it though: without Thuram (calf) and with Saliba playing through a back problem, and a Sweden side that still has Isak and Gyökeres up front, conceding once is plausible. Sweden are reshuffled at the back (Hien out) and arrive with just one bright spell in the group. France control and win, but narrowly: 2-1 rather than the too-generous 3-1.
Prediction history
- 3–1 · 2026-06-29 — Initial prediction
- 3–1 · 2026-06-29 — Scorers corrected: likely starters instead of benched / out-of-squad players
- 2–1 · 2026-06-30 — Recalibrated: tighter scoreline, penalty-shootout risk weighted (after the 29 Jun results)