🇪🇸 Espanyol vs Deportivo 🇪🇸 — Prediction
La Liga · Matchday 12 · Sun, 08 Nov 2026, 00:00 CET · RCDE Stadium, Cornellà-El Prat
Win probability
- Expected goals
- 1.36 – 1.20
- Both teams score
- 53%
Why we called it
Espanyol arrive with confidence from a 1-0 win at Villarreal, and Roberto Fernández (6 goals) leads their attack. Deportivo also have a strike partnership in form, so both sides are expected to score.
Full analysis
Probable line-ups
Absences
- Roger Hinojo — suspended (yellow cards)
- Kike García — out (hamstring tendon, until December)
- Jofre Carreras — out (adductor)
- Zakaria Eddahchouri — doubtful (wrist fracture)
- Bright Ede — doubtful (hamstring)
Form
Espanyol (14th, 11 points) won 1-0 at Villarreal after a run of one point from three games. Deportivo (8th, 14 points) beat Osasuna 2-1 on Monday after a 1-0 loss at Atlético.
Context
Deportivo have had a day less to recover after playing on Monday night. Espanyol have been without Kike García and Jofre Carreras for weeks, so that is already reflected in their recent results.
What's at stake
Espanyol want to move clear of the drop zone, which is only a point behind, while Deportivo can push towards the top half.
Betting market
Espanyol 2.28, Deportivo 3.14; under 2.5 is 1.78 against 2.00 for the over. The market has a small home lean, close to the model, and expects few goals.
From the model to the call
The model's 1.36 v 1.20 is unchanged. The main absences are long-term and already in the results, and Hinojo's suspension and Deportivo's Monday game roughly cancel out.