🇫🇷 Angers vs Nice 🇫🇷 — Prediction
Ligue 1 · Matchday 10 · Sun, 08 Nov 2026, 17:15 CET · Stade Raymond-Kopa, Angers
Win probability
- Expected goals
- 1.05 – 1.12
- Both teams score
- 45%
Why we called it
Angers lose their main striker El Ouazzani and have taken one point from their last three, while Elye Wahi has scored five goals in Nice's last three league games. Bookmakers make Nice favourites at 2.05, flipping the model's home lean.
Full analysis
Probable line-ups
Absences
- Amine El Ouazzani — out
- Pona — out
- B. Diatta — doubtful
- Moise Bombito — out (lower-leg fracture)
- Laurent Abergel — out (cruciate ligament)
- Antoine Mendy — out (cruciate ligament)
- Axel Witsel — doubtful
- Ali Abdi — doubtful
- Seidu — back
Form
Angers are 15th on 8 points (9 scored, 17 conceded) after a 5-1 loss at Brest, a 0-0 with Lorient and a 2-0 defeat at Lyon. Nice are 8th on 14 points, having won 2-1 at Brest and beaten Rennes 5-2, with Wahi scoring a hat-trick.
Context
Neither side played in Europe this week, so both are fully rested. Nice's attack is in form, while Angers will play without a recognised first-choice centre-forward.
What's at stake
Angers are trying to pull clear of the relegation zone, and Nice are pushing for the European places.
Betting market
1X2 is Angers 3.40, draw 3.60, Nice 2.05 (best prices). The market strongly disagrees with the model's Angers lean, mainly because of this season's form gap and El Ouazzani's absence.
From the model to the call
Model 1.23-0.90 → 1.05-1.12: Angers lose 0.18 for El Ouazzani's absence and poor form, and Nice gain 0.22 for Wahi's scoring run and the market's strong disagreement.