🇫🇷 Rennes vs Lille 🇫🇷 — Prediction

Ligue 1 · Matchday 10 · Sun, 08 Nov 2026, 15:00 CET · Roazhon Park, Rennes

Our AI call, published before kickoff

GG2–1

Tipped scorers: Sebastian Szymański (Rennes) · Boulaye Dia (Rennes) · Ethan Mbappé (Lille)

Win probability

39%

Rennes

27%

Draw

34%

Lille

Expected goals: 1.40 – 1.30
Both teams score: 55%

How the crowd called it

Missed ✗

Final result: 1–2 · Tipped scorers hit: 1/3

Goals: Soriba Diaoune (Lille, 24') · Boulaye Dia (Rennes, 31') · Nathan Ngoy (Lille, 68')

Why we called it

Lille arrive from a Tuesday Champions League trip to Bodø/Glimt without Igamane, Tiago Santos and Ueda and with Bentaleb doubtful, and bookmakers make Rennes clear favourites at 2.10 against 3.25. Rennes are also likely to miss their 7-goal striker Lepaul, so the edge stays narrow.

Full analysis

Probable line-ups

🇫🇷 Rennes

5-3-2: Samba (or Lemaître); Frankowski, Aït Boudlal, Cresswell, Rouault, Nagida; Szymański, Rongier, Thomasson (or M. Camara); Dia, Al-Tamari

🇫🇷 Lille

4-3-3: Özer; Goffi, Ngoy, Alexsandro, Perraud; Mukau, Bentaleb, André; E. Mbappé, Haraldsson, Diaoune

Absences

🇫🇷 Rennes

Estéban Lepaul — doubtful/likely out (ankle sprain, not training with the group)
Brice Samba — doubtful (thigh)
Przemysław Frankowski — doubtful (missed the Olympiakos game)

🇫🇷 Lille

Hamza Igamane — out (knee)
Tiago Santos — out (ACL and meniscus)
Ayase Ueda — doubtful (foot)
Nabil Bentaleb — doubtful (illness)
Nianzou — back in contention

Form

Rennes are 5th on 16 points (20 scored, 19 conceded): 3-0 over Strasbourg, then a 5-2 defeat at Nice. Lille are 2nd on 18 points with the league's best defence (6 conceded), unbeaten in four league games after beating Lens 1-0, but they lost their first three Champions League games.

Context

Lille played in the Champions League at Bodø/Glimt on Tuesday, a long trip north. Rennes drew 0-0 with Olympiakos in the Europa League on Wednesday and are unbeaten in Europe under Franck Haise. Both sides get four to five days of rest.

What's at stake

Lille want to stay on PSG's heels in 2nd, and Rennes can climb into the top four with a win.

Betting market

1X2 is Rennes 2.10, draw 3.75, Lille 3.25 (best prices). The market leans further to Rennes than the model's near-even split.

From the model to the call

Model 1.44-1.40 → 1.40-1.30: Rennes lose a little for Lepaul's likely absence, and Lille lose 0.10 for the Bodø trip and the Bentaleb/Ueda doubts.