🇫🇷 Paris Saint-Germain vs Troyes 🇫🇷 — Prediction

Ligue 1 · Matchday 10 · Sat, 07 Nov 2026, 20:45 CET · Parc des Princes, Paris

Our AI call, published before kickoff

12–0

Tipped scorers: Désiré Doué (Paris Saint-Germain) · Senny Mayulu (Paris Saint-Germain)

Win probability

79%

Paris Saint-Germain

14%

Draw

Troyes

Expected goals: 2.74 – 0.75
Both teams score: 50%

How the crowd called it

Outcome called ✓ (score off)

Final result: 1–0 · Tipped scorers hit: 0/2

Goals: Illia Zabarnyi (Paris Saint-Germain, 39')

Why we called it

League leaders PSG are scoring freely even with a rotated side (5-1 at Le Havre, 6-0 at Villarreal), while Troyes have scored only 7 goals in 9 games; rotation four days after the Champions League trims the margin slightly.

Full analysis

Probable line-ups

🇫🇷 Paris Saint-Germain

4-3-3 (rotated, probable): Safonov; Hakimi, Hernandez, Digne at the back; Vitinha, João Neves, Zaïre-Emery or Mayulu in midfield; Godts, Ndjantou, Doué in attack.

🇫🇷 Troyes

No probable XI published yet; Troyes scorers this season include Mouhamed Diop, Ismaël Boura, Timothé Nkada and Jérémy Le Douaron.

Absences

🇫🇷 Paris Saint-Germain

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia — out (right knee surgery, several months)
Ousmane Dembélé — out (thigh)
Marquinhos — out (thigh)
Nuno Mendes — out (thigh)

🇫🇷 Troyes

None

Form

PSG have won five in a row: Strasbourg 1-3, Barcelona 4-2, Lyon 2-0, Le Havre 1-5 and Villarreal 0-6, and lead Ligue 1 on 20 points. Troyes are W2 D2 L5 (7 scored, 16 conceded), with no away goals since August, though they beat Le Mans 2-0 last time out.

Context

PSG play four days after their Champions League game in Villarreal and the local press expects Luis Enrique to rotate again, using youngsters such as Mayulu, Godts and Ndjantou. Troyes have not beaten PSG since 2001.

What's at stake

PSG want to protect their lead at the top; Troyes are fighting to stay out of the relegation zone.

Betting market

No current odds found; PSG will be heavy favourites, which agrees with the model's ~79% home win.

From the model to the call

Model 2.89 – 0.72 → 2.74 – 0.75: -0.15 for PSG because of the expected rotation after the midweek Champions League game and four first-team absentees, and +0.03 for Troyes because Marquinhos is missing at centre-back.