🇫🇷 Auxerre vs Paris FC 🇫🇷 — Prediction
Ligue 1 · Matchday 10 · Sat, 07 Nov 2026, 17:15 CET · Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre
Win probability
- Expected goals
- 1.18 – 1.31
- Both teams score
- 51%
Why we called it
Paris FC arrive on a high after beating Monaco 3-1 with Sinayoko in scoring form, while Auxerre were thrashed 5-1 at Strasbourg; the model gives the visitors a slight edge in a game where both should score.
Full analysis
Probable line-ups
Absences
Form
Auxerre won at Le Havre (3-1) and drew with Le Mans (1-1) before a 5-1 defeat at Strasbourg; Archer has scored in five league games. Paris FC beat Rennes 4-3 and Monaco 3-1 at home around a 2-1 loss at Lens, and won 3-2 at Marseille earlier in the season.
Context
Both sides had a full week off with no midweek fixture. Auxerre need a reaction at home after conceding five; Paris FC come in confident after ending Monaco's run.
What's at stake
Auxerre want to stay clear of the bottom three; Paris FC are pushing to stay in the top half.
Betting market
No current 1X2 or over/under 2.5 prices found for this fixture, so no market check against the model.
From the model to the call
Model 1.18 – 1.31 kept unchanged: no confirmed injury, suspension or rotation news for either side was found this week, so there was nothing to justify moving it.