🏴 Everton vs Coventry City 🏴 — Prediction
Premier League · Matchday 10 · Sat, 07 Nov 2026, 16:00 CET · Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool
Win probability
- Expected goals
- 1.56 – 0.69
- Both teams score
- 40%
Why we called it
Everton arrive off a 1-0 win at Newcastle and the market (about 58% home) matches the model. Coventry are without striker Haji Wright, which keeps their threat low.
Full analysis
Probable line-ups
Absences
- Christian Norgaard — out (groin, until after the international break)
- Jack Grealish — doubtful (short of fitness after disciplinary absence)
- Tyrique George — doubtful (knock at Newcastle)
- Haji Wright — out (thigh)
- Aurele Amenda — out (calf)
- Bobby Thomas — doubtful (calf)
- Josh Eccles — doubtful (ankle)
Form
Everton have W2 D1 L2 in their last five league games, the latest a 1-0 win at Newcastle on 2 November. Coventry have W3 L2 in their last five and beat Sunderland 3-1 on 31 October.
Context
The Friday-night kick-off gives Everton only four days after their Monday game at St James' Park; Coventry have had a full week. Everton also beat Newcastle in the League Cup recently, so morale is high.
What's at stake
Everton want to push into the top half; promoted Coventry want to build a gap over the relegation zone.
Betting market
Everton around -143 (≈58%), draw +290, Coventry +350 — in line with the model.
From the model to the call
Model 1.56-0.69 kept unchanged: Wright's absence for Coventry is offset by Everton's short turnaround.