🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Manchester United vs Aston Villa 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 — Prediction

Premier League · Matchday 10 · Sun, 08 Nov 2026, 17:30 CET · Old Trafford, Manchester

Our AI call, published before kickoff

GG2–1

Tipped scorers: Bryan Mbeumo (Manchester United) · Bruno Fernandes (Manchester United) · Nicolas Jackson (Aston Villa)

Win probability

48%

Manchester United

24%

Draw

28%

Aston Villa

Expected goals: 1.80 – 1.32
Both teams score: 62%

How the crowd called it

Missed ✗

Final result: 4–4 · Tipped scorers hit: 2/3

Goals: Alysson (Aston Villa, 1') · Nicolas Jackson (Aston Villa, 4') · Bruno Fernandes (Manchester United, 16') · Youri Tielemans (Manchester United, 44') · John McGinn (Aston Villa, 48') · Leon Goretzka (Aston Villa, 53') · Joshua Zirkzee (Manchester United, 92') · Patrick Dorgu (Manchester United, 96')

Why we called it

United's attack is thinner without Sesko and Baleba, but they come in off a 3-2 Champions League win over Roma. Villa's Nicolas Jackson has scored in back-to-back games, so both sides should score.

Full analysis

Probable line-ups

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Manchester United

4-2-3-1: Lammens; Dalot, Maguire, Heaven, Yoro; Mainoo, Tielemans; Mbeumo, Fernandes, Amad Diallo; Cunha

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Aston Villa

4-2-3-1: Suzuki; Bogarde, Lindelöf, Pau Torres, Maatsen; Goretzka, Kamara; Alysson, McGinn, Manzambi; N. Jackson

Absences

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Manchester United

Benjamin Šeško — out
Carlos Baleba — out
Manuel Ugarte — out
Lisandro Martínez — reported suspended
Matheus Cunha — sent off v Roma (UEFA ban, available in the league)
Patrick Dorgu — doubtful
Luke Shaw — doubtful
Marcus Rashford — doubtful

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Aston Villa

Amadou Onana — out
Marco Ruggeri — out
Matty Cash — reported suspended
Aaron Wan-Bissaka — doubtful

Form

United lost 3-0 at home to Bournemouth and 2-0 at Chelsea, then beat Roma 3-2 in midweek with two late Cunha goals. Villa beat Man City 2-1 and drew 1-1 with Fulham.

Context

Both sides played in Europe midweek. Michael Carrick's United need a league response after two defeats, and Villa have lost Onana from midfield.

What's at stake

United need points to climb back toward the top six; Villa are chasing a top-four finish.

Betting market

No reliable current odds found; United's poor league form suggests the model's 54% home is on the generous side.

From the model to the call

Model 1.96-1.25 moved to 1.80-1.32: -0.16 United for Šeško's absence and two straight league defeats, +0.07 Villa with Martínez reportedly missing from United's defence.