🏴 Nottingham Forest vs Man City 🏴 — Prediction
Premier League · Matchday 10 · Sat, 07 Nov 2026, 18:30 CET · City Ground, Nottingham
Win probability
- Expected goals
- 1.02 – 1.60
- Both teams score
- 52%
Why we called it
Forest are 19th with four defeats in five, and Glasner may be playing for his job. City have lost two in a row and travel back from Leipzig, but are still clear favourites.
Full analysis
Probable line-ups
Absences
- Nicolò Savona — out
- Igor Jesus — doubtful
- Nicolás Domínguez — doubtful
- Antoine Semenyo — out (knee)
Form
Forest lost 2-0 at Brentford, their fourth defeat in five league games, and have 6 points from 9. City (21 points) lost 2-1 at Aston Villa and 1-0 at home to Brighton.
Context
Reports suggest Oliver Glasner could be sacked if Forest lose this game. City play RB Leipzig away in the Champions League on Wednesday, three days earlier.
What's at stake
Forest are fighting relegation and a manager's future; City need to stop a two-game losing run in the title race with Arsenal.
Betting market
No reliable current odds found; previews treat City as clear away favourites, consistent with the model.
From the model to the call
Model 1.02-1.64 moved to 1.02-1.60: -0.04 City for the midweek trip to Leipzig and Semenyo's absence.