🏴 Fulham vs Newcastle 🏴 — Prediction
Premier League · Matchday 10 · Sat, 07 Nov 2026, 16:00 CET · Craven Cottage, London
Win probability
- Expected goals
- 1.45 – 1.24
- Both teams score
- 55%
Why we called it
Newcastle have lost twice to Everton in a week and are without Jacob Ramsey (sent off). Fulham have no reported absences, which gives them the home edge.
Full analysis
Probable line-ups
Absences
- Jacob Ramsey — suspended (red card v Everton)
- Tino Livramento — out (knee)
- Ewen Jaouen — out (hamstring)
- Lewis Miley — doubtful
- Matías Fernández-Pardo — doubtful
Form
Fulham won 1-0 at Coventry and drew 1-1 at Aston Villa. Newcastle lost 1-0 at home to Everton on Monday after also going out of the League Cup to them.
Context
Newcastle, under Matthias Jaissle, are in a slump after two defeats to the same opponent in a week. Fulham have had a full week to prepare.
What's at stake
Both sides are in the congested mid-table pack and want to stay in touch with the European places.
Betting market
No reliable current odds found; the model has it close to a coin flip with Fulham slightly ahead.
From the model to the call
Model 1.45-1.30 moved to 1.45-1.24: -0.06 Newcastle for Ramsey's suspension and Miley's doubt in midfield.