🇩🇪 RB Leipzig vs Augsburg 🇩🇪 — Prediction

Bundesliga · Matchday 9 · Sat, 07 Nov 2026, 15:30 CET · Red Bull Arena, Leipzig

Our AI call, published before kickoff

GG2–1

Tipped scorers: Rômulo (RB Leipzig) · Antonio Nusa (RB Leipzig) · Michael Gregoritsch (Augsburg)

Win probability

60%

RB Leipzig

21%

Draw

19%

Augsburg

Expected goals: 2.15 – 1.15
Both teams score: 61%

How the crowd called it

Outcome called ✓ (score off)

Final result: 5–2 · Tipped scorers hit: 1/3

Goals: Anton Kade (Augsburg, 1') · Ezechiel Banzuzi (RB Leipzig, 34') · Christopher Nkunku (RB Leipzig, 35') · David Raum (RB Leipzig, 46') · Rômulo (RB Leipzig, 60') · Christoph Baumgartner (RB Leipzig, 66') · Uchenna Ogundu (Augsburg, 92')

Why we called it

Leipzig have won their last two league games without conceding and face an Augsburg side without a league win in six. A Champions League night against Manchester City three days earlier takes a little off the home side.

Full analysis

Probable line-ups

🇩🇪 RB Leipzig

4-3-3: Vandevoordt; Baku, Orbán, Castello Jr., Raum; Reitz, El Aynaoui, Banzuzi; Gruda, Rômulo, Nusa (Nkunku back in the squad, Gomis an option up front)

🇩🇪 Augsburg

3-4-2-1: Dahmen; Keitel, Gouweleeuw, Matsima; Wolf, Massengo, Rieder, Behrens; Kade, Ibrahimović; Gregoritsch

Absences

🇩🇪 RB Leipzig

Assan Ouédraogo — out (shoulder, expected back around the new year)
Marc Guiu — out (muscle, rehab)

🇩🇪 Augsburg

Alexis Claude-Maurice — out (injury)
Steve Mounié — out (injury)
Noahkai Banks — out (knee)
Faik Sakar — out (ankle)
Tim Breithaupt — out (injury)
Sima Suso — out (injury)

Form

Leipzig beat Elversberg 4-0 and won 2-0 at Schalke in their last two league games. Augsburg have 10 points and no league win in six. They lost 2-1 at home to Freiburg after leading through Gregoritsch, but did reach the Pokal last 16.

Context

Leipzig host Manchester City in the Champions League on Wednesday, so they have three days to recover. Coach Martín Demichelis is in his first season after replacing Ole Werner. Augsburg coach Manuel Baum called the Freiburg defeat one of the most painful of his career.

What's at stake

Leipzig are third and want to stay in touch with Bayern and Dortmund. Augsburg need to end their winless run before they drift towards the bottom.

Betting market

No reliable full-time 1X2 or over/under line was available at the time of writing. Previews have Leipzig as clear favourites, which fits the model's 60% home win.

From the model to the call

Model 2.25-1.21 → 2.15-1.15: -0.10 to Leipzig for the Champions League game three days earlier, -0.06 to Augsburg for their attacking absences (Claude-Maurice, Mounié).