🇩🇪 SC Paderborn vs Eintracht Frankfurt 🇩🇪 — Prediction
Bundesliga · Matchday 9 · Sat, 07 Nov 2026, 15:30 CET · Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn
Win probability
- Expected goals
- 1.50 – 1.40
- Both teams score
- 59%
Why we called it
This is close to a coin flip. Promoted Paderborn are hard to beat but have scored only six league goals, and Frankfurt arrive after beating Hamburg twice in a week. Paderborn keep a slim home edge, and with Frankfurt's leaky defence both sides should score.
Full analysis
Probable line-ups
Absences
- Oliver Batista Meier — out (injury)
- Timur Gayret — out (rehab)
- Gabriel Vidović — doubtful
- Jessic Ngankam — out (rehab)
Form
Paderborn have 9 points with only 6 goals scored and 9 conceded. They beat Hamburg 1-0 and drew 0-0 at Gladbach. Frankfurt have 11 points but have conceded 18; they beat Hamburg 3-1 in both the Pokal and the league.
Context
Neither side has a European game this week. Hütter has been critical of Collins but is pleased with Can Uzun, and Brassier is back at centre-back.
What's at stake
Paderborn want to stay clear of the drop zone in their first season back. Frankfurt want to climb towards the European places.
Betting market
No reliable full 1X2 line could be confirmed. Frankfurt were seen at around 2.20 and independent projections lean slightly towards the visitors, which is more Frankfurt than the model's 46/25/29.
From the model to the call
Model 1.71-1.33 → 1.50-1.40: -0.21 to Paderborn because their low scoring rate this season (6 in 8) is weaker than the attack the model carries over, +0.07 to Frankfurt in line with the market.