🇮🇹 Roma vs Sassuolo 🇮🇹 — Prediction

Serie A · Matchday 11 · Sat, 07 Nov 2026, 20:45 CET · Stadio Olimpico, Rome

Our AI call, published before kickoff

12–1

Tipped scorers: Donyell Malen (Roma) · Matías Soulé (Roma) · Armand Laurienté (Sassuolo)

Win probability

65%

Roma

20%

Draw

15%

Sassuolo

Expected goals: 2.20 – 0.95
Both teams score: 55%

How the crowd called it

Outcome called ✓ (score off)

Final result: 3–0 · Tipped scorers hit: 0/3

Goals: Mario Hermoso (Roma, 27') · Sebastian Walukiewicz (OG) (Roma, 30') · Rodrigo Mora (Roma, 58')

Why we called it

Roma are scoring heavily (5 at Udinese, 4 against Cagliari) and Sassuolo have conceded 12 in their last three. With Svilar still out and Gollini in goal, Sassuolo should get on the scoresheet too.

Full analysis

Probable line-ups

🇮🇹 Roma

3-4-2-1: Gollini; Mancini, Ndicka, Hermoso; Wesley, Cristante, Pisilli, Lulli; Soulé, Mora; Malen

🇮🇹 Sassuolo

4-3-3: Turati; Doig, Idzes, Candé, Cinquegrani; Thorstvedt, Matic, Bakola; Berardi, Esposito, Laurienté

Absences

🇮🇹 Roma

Svilar — out (first-choice goalkeeper, back after the international break)
Dybala — doubtful (until 7 Nov)
Koné — out (until 8 Nov)
Pellegrini — out
Rensch — out

🇮🇹 Sassuolo

Volpato — out
Kone — out (until January)
Pieragnoli — out
Russo — out

Form

Roma have scored 15 in their last four league games (3-3 at Napoli, 2-0 v Genoa, 4-2 v Cagliari, 5-2 at Udinese). Sassuolo have lost three straight, conceding 12 (0-2 at Como, 2-6 v Lazio, 2-4 v Fiorentina).

Context

Roma are also playing in the Champions League this season, so some rotation is possible, and Koné and Dybala are unavailable or doubtful. Sassuolo's defence has fallen apart.

What's at stake

Roma are chasing the top four; Sassuolo need to stop the slide before it becomes a relegation fight.

Betting market

Roma 1.30, draw 6.00, Sassuolo 9.00; over 2.5 at 1.36. The market is more bullish on Roma and on goals than the model.

From the model to the call

Model 1.99-0.87 → 2.20-0.95: Roma go up for their scoring run and Sassuolo's collapsing defence (backed by the market), and Sassuolo get a small bump because Svilar is out and Gollini starts in goal.